Deport immigrants? Do you want more tax and debt?
Do you want to pay more in tax and take on more debt? Coz deporting immigrants: that’s how you get more tax and debt.
Tell me, what exactly does an immigration crime look like?
Did a brown person show up to your workplace with a gun and demand you give him your job?
Or did he steal your place in line in the dole queue?
Tell me because they can’t be both stealing jobs and be claiming welfare at the same time.
It seems pointless to try and refute Trump’s baseless claims that immigrants are more likely to commit violence and crime.
I could quote research and cite studies which prove Trump’s claims are not reflected in the data.
I could tell you that a recent Cato Institute report found undocumented migrants are much less likely than other people in the United States to commit these types of serious crimes.
I could cite a 2005 study which demonstrated that immigration across 150 different metropolitan areas actually decreased the homicide rate, and another which confirms cities with greater growth in immigrant or new immigrant populations between 1990 and 2000 tended to have steeper decreases in homicide and robbery rates.
Or another which examined at 103 different Metropolitan Statistical Areas between 1994-2004 and found violent crime rates dropped while the concentration of immigrants increased.
But these days citing facts is like preaching to the choir: it does nothing to alter the perceptions of the people whose minds most need changing.
“It is easy to focus on the horrible tragedies when somebody is murdered by an immigrant but it’s very hard to imagine all of the people who weren’t murdered because of the lower crime rates created by increased immigration,” writes Alex Nowrasteh, immigration policy analyst at The Cato Institute.
So let’s not talk criminality. Let’s talk numbers.
Deporting immigrants is costing you money.
What if I said the deportations will result in a higher tax bill for you? Or that you’ll have to go even further into debt to afford the same lifestyle you have now.
Both Australia’s and the US economy would tank were it not for immigrants. And private debt would skyrocket more than it already is. In fact immigration and the glut of private debt are the two things keeping the economy afloat, thanks to the 30 year delusion over government debt and imaginary inflation.
Australian private debt as a share of GDP has trebled from about 70% of GDP to about 210% of GDP since the end of the 1970s.
Remove immigrants and those numbers go gangbusters, bringing almost certain economic disaster with it.
Meanwhile America’s modern day Gestapo, Trump’s Immigration and Customs Enforcement goon brigade cost the economy $3.2 billion last year.
Deporting one million immigrants will cost the US economy up to $55 billion dollars, while it stands to lose $1.3 trillion in income, $105 billion in state and local taxes and a further $224 billion in federal taxes, according to the Partnership for a New American Economy.
In 2014 immigrants had almost $927 billion in consumer spending power, an analysis of the survey showed.
Around 450,000 undocumented workers were deported last year, of those, 240,000 cases were handled by ICE. An official for the department claims each deportation conducted by ICE cost taxpayers an average of $10,854 in fiscal 2016.
To even reach Trump’s goal of 1 million deportations would cost the economy between $35 and $55 billion, according to centre-right think tank, The American Action Forum, a conservative estimate which ignores the impact of economies of scale that reduce the deportation-cost-per person as more people are deported.
The AAF’s research also examined other aspects of Trump’s plan, including the 32,000 new immigration attorneys that would need to be hired to process cases, up from about 1,300 today, the hundreds of thousands of extra detention beds which will need to be bought, shipped, constructed and presumably the sheets washed and dried occasionally, 17,000 chartered airplane flights and 30,000 chartered bus trips each year. The AAF estimates the total cost would be in the range of $100 billion to $300 billion.
So, not only are immigrants essential to avoiding an economic disaster the likes of which we’ve not seen since the Great Depression, removing them will take money out of your bank account.
You don’t have to like immigrants, but maybe you’d hate them a little less if you realised they are keeping dollars in your pocket.
If you’re so worried about crime, focus on the President.
He has been accused of sexually assaulting several women and then all but confirmed this behavioural predisposition on camera, in a casual conversation with Billy Bush about his predilection for grabbing women by the pussy. He has bankrupted his business partners and stolen millions of dollars, and the future, of Trump University students. Add to that reports this morning he threatened those who tried to recoup their losses from Trump Entertainment Resort bankruptcy and you’ve got a pretty comprehensive picture of the kind of mobbed-up orange Trump Muppet America has for a President.
His father and grandfather have connections to the KKK and affiliations with other white supremacist terror organisations which committed and sanctioned violence against African Americans and immigrants, attitudes that are reflected to this day in Trump Snr & Jr’s refusal to rent or sell to non-white tenants in Trump Towers.
And that’s just off the top of my head.
Perhaps America would be better off setting up a hotline for victims of Trump crime. It’d probably cost less.
Claire Connelly is working on her first book, How The World Really Works, a guide to recognising rhetorical red flags and immunising yourself against bullshit. You should definitely buy it when it comes out. A podcast of the same name will also be launching in the coming months.